To my mind he is a good singer but he has no his own repertoire. It is a real problem if we say about his future trends.
Unfortunately, Nalich-singer is much(!) bigger than Nalich-author. I wish him to understand it one day and to find HIS author. His songs are pretty, but they can’t be compared with his performance of “Kogda my byly na voyne”…
As for the possibility of his victory, I really think his song is the best.